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70 Years of U.S. Energy Production

Ehsan Soltani

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The trajectory of the U.S. energy industry has been marked by significant shifts and transitions throughout its history. It evolved from the utilization of wood and coal in the 18th and 19th centuries to experiencing a 20th-century oil boom, followed by the emergence of nuclear energy in the latter half of the 20th century. Subsequently, the industry underwent the shale revolution and witnessed the ascent of renewable energy in the 21st century. Over the past seventy years, the development of the U.S. energy sector can be categorized into two pivotal phases:

 

  1. Early 1970s to the mid-2000s: After a century of consistent growth, crude oil production experienced a sustained decline, halving its output, while natural gas production exhibited relative stability. Conversely, coal production nearly doubled, and nuclear energy emerged and rapidly expanded as a significant source of electricity.

  2. Shale revolution and 21st-century renewable energy era: Around 2008, the transformative shale revolution ignited a remarkable increase in crude oil and natural gas production. Concurrently, renewable energy underwent rapid expansion. Throughout the 2010s and 2020s, nuclear energy production remained stable, whereas coal output diminished by half.

 

Elevated oil prices instigated two significant transitions in the course of U.S. energy history. Initially, oil prices surged from an average of $1.44 per barrel in the 1960s to approximately $11 per barrel during 1974–1976, subsequently peaking around $36 per barrel in 1980–1981. This surge prompted a surge in coal utilization and the emergence of nuclear energy as substitutes for electricity generation. In a subsequent phase, oil prices, which had averaged $18 per barrel from 1986 to 1999, gradually escalated to roughly $100 per barrel in 2008. The boosted oil prices during the 2000s facilitated the rise and economic viability of shale oil and gas production, as well as renewable energy sources. This seismic shift paved the way for a surge in domestic oil and gas output, propelling the U.S. into a notable role in global energy markets and diminishing reliance on foreign oil. Across both epochs, elevated oil prices acted as triggers, propelling transformations in U.S. energy generation, consumption patterns, and the adoption of a diverse array of energy resources.

 

Fossil fuel production underwent dynamic changes from 1950 to 2022, with its share of total primary energy output declining from approximately 93% (1950–1973) to around 79% (2000–2022). Notably, crude oil dominated from 1952 to 1962, followed by natural gas (1963–1984), coal (1985–2008), and a return to natural gas (2009–2022) as the primary sources within this evolving landscape.

Crude oil

Historically, U.S. crude oil production maintained steady growth until 1970, peaking at 9.6 million barrel per day (bpd). However, a downward trend ensued from the early 1970s, hitting a nadir of 5.0 million bpd in 2005. The emergence of shale oil extraction technology acted as a transformative force, reshaping the U.S. oil production landscape. Notably, shale oil output surged from roughly 0.5 million bpd in 2008 to nearly 8 million bpd by 2022, constituting a substantial two-thirds of the total U.S. crude oil yield. This astounding expansion propelled the U.S. to eclipse both Russia and Saudi Arabia as the world's foremost oil-producing nation, achieving an average daily output of 11.0 million barrels in 2018.

Natural Gas

The landscape of dry natural gas production has witnessed distinct cycles over the decades. The initial phase, peaking at 21,730 billion cubic feet in 1973, tapered to 16,060 billion cubic feet by 1986. Subsequently, the second cycle emerged in 2008, surging to an impressive 35,820 billion cubic feet in 2022. Notably, from 2007 to 2022, conventional U.S. natural gas extractions, excluding shale, experienced a 50% reduction. In stark contrast, shale natural gas extractions soared from 2,000 billion cubic feet in 2008 to an astounding 31,000 billion cubic feet in 2022, comprising a significant 73% of total extractions.

 

The composition of natural gas output underwent changes as well. Historically, dry natural gas constituted approximately 89% of total production (by energy value) from the 1950s to the 2010s. However, this proportion dipped to 83% in 2022, with natural gas plant liquids accounting for 24% of growth (by energy value) between 2008 and 2022.

 

Amidst these changes, the significant role of natural gas in electricity generation becomes evident, as it claimed the largest share at 42% in 2022.

Coal

Coal production surged from 540 million tons in the early 1970s to over 1 billion tons during 2004–2008. However, production dipped after 2012, hitting 540 million tons in 2022. In 1950, only 19% of coal fueled electricity generation. This figure progressively climbed, exceeding 90% post-2000. While coal dominated electricity generation until 2008, its share declined, dwindling to 20% in 2022. Notably, natural gas and renewable sources like gas, wind, and solar have supplanted coal in recent years.

Nuclear energy

Commercial nuclear power generation commenced in the US in 1958. Operating reactors peaked at 112 in 1990, later reducing to 92 by 2022. Nuclear power supplied a consistent increase in energy, hitting nearly 800 billion kilowatts between 2007–2019, contributing 20% to the total electricity output.

Renewable energy

Renewable energy production has experienced two remarkable twofold increases. Initially, from the 1950s to the 1980s, hydroelectric and wood energies underwent expansion, followed by a more recent surge between the mid-2010s and 2022, driven by wind, solar, and biofuels. While hydroelectric and wood energy outputs declined, the combined production of wind, solar, and biofuels skyrocketed by over 2200% from 2000 to 2022. Biofuels flourished during the 2000s, wind power exhibited steady growth since the early 2000s, and solar energy has been ascending since 2009. In 2022, renewable energy distribution stood at wind 29%, biofuels 19%, hydroelectric 17%, wood 16%, and solar 14%. Notably, solar demonstrated a staggering growth rate of 2440%, followed by wind at 600%, and biofuels at 83% between 2008 and 2022.

 

It is imperative to acknowledge that the intricate trajectory of the U.S. energy industry remains in progress, and its course will persistently be shaped by elements including technological advancements, policy determinations, market fluctuations, and societal perspectives regarding sustainability and environmental responsibility. These formidable components, which have wielded their influence over both contemporary and conventional energy domains, are strategically poised to reaffirm the global positioning of the United States within the realm of the energy market.

All figures and numbers are based on data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

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